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BRA ブラジル セリエA · Round 21 ·

サントス vs アトレティコ・パラナエンセ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score1–1サントスアトレティコ・パラナエンセ
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 30% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アトレティコ・パラナエンセ win (27.3%)ダブルチャンス1X72.7%1.38
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.29 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapサントス winDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
サントス win43%2.332.1544.1%-1.1 pp
引き分け30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
アトレティコ・パラナエンセ win27%3.703.6026.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

サントス1.06

ホーム share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

アトレティコ・パラナエンセ1.23

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

サントス

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・パラナエンセ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.06
Expected goals
1.23
サントスアトレティコ・パラナエンセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01サントス signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アトレティコ・パラナエンセ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

サントス vs アトレティコ・パラナエンセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

サントス 勝ち 43%,引き分け 30%,アトレティコ・パラナエンセ 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー