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バイーア vs ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利50%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利24%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利50% selection probability
Projected score2–1バイーアヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ
Expected goals3.15始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
50% / 26% / 24%試合結果ホーム勝利50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ win (24.3%)ダブルチャンス1X75.7%1.32
オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%Goals 2.5オーバー61%1.64
はい 59% · いいえ 41%両チーム得点はい59%1.69
3.15 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
バイーア win50%2.00
引き分け26%3.85
ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

バイーア2.03

ホーム share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals3.15始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%

ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ1.12

アウェイ share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 59% · いいえ 41%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

バイーア

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
勝ち probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.12
バイーアヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01バイーア signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

バイーア vs ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

バイーア 勝ち 50%,引き分け 26%,ヴァスコ・ダ・ガマ 勝ち 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · オーバー 2.5 61% · Current selection オーバー