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BRA Brazil Serie A · Мач ·

Баия vs Вашко да Гама

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина50%
Равен26%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина50% selection probability
Projected score2–1БаияВашко да Гама
Expected goals3.15Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
50% / 26% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Вашко да Гама win (24.3%)Двоен шанс1X75.7%1.32
Над 61% · Под 39%Goals 2.5Над61%1.64
Да 59% · Не 41%И двата отбора да отбележатДа59%1.69
3.15 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.0 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Баия win50%2.00
Равен26%3.85
Вашко да Гама win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Баия2.03

Домакин share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals3.15Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 61% · Под 39%

Вашко да Гама1.12

Гост share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Не 41%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Баия

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Точки9

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Вашко да Гама

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.12
БаияВашко да Гама
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Баия signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вашко да Гама signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Баия vs Вашко да Гама FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Баия печеливш 50%,Равен 26%,Вашко да Гама печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Над 2.5 61% · Current selection Над