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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Flamengo vs Витория

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина78%
Равен16%
Победа за госта6%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoВитория
Expected goals3.22Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
78% / 16% / 6%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Витория win (6.3%)Двоен шанс1X93.7%1.07
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 43% · Не 57%И двата отбора да отбележатНе57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapВитория winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Равен16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Витория win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Домакин share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

Витория0.62

Гост share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Не 57%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Витория

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoВитория
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Витория signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Витория FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo печеливш 78%,Равен 16%,Витория печеливш 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над