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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Flamengo vs Vitoria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich78%
Remíza16%
Výhra hostí6%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoVitoria
Expected goals3.22Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac62% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
78% / 16% / 6%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitoria win (6.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X93.7%1.07
Viac 62% · Menej 38%Goals 2.5Viac62%1.61
Áno 43% · Nie 57%Oba tímy skórujúNie57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitoria winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitoria win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Domáci share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 62% · Menej 38%

Vitoria0.62

Hostia share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitÁno 43% · Nie 57%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Vitoria

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Výhra probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoVitoria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Vitoria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo výhra 78%,Remíza 16%,Vitoria výhra 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Viac 2.5 62% · Current selection Viac