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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Flamengo vs Vitoria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích78%
Remíza16%
Výhra hostů6%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoVitoria
Expected goals3.22Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více62% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
78% / 16% / 6%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitoria win (6.3%)Dvojitá šance1X93.7%1.07
Více 62% · Méně 38%Goals 2.5Více62%1.61
Ano 43% · Ne 57%Oba týmy skórujíNe57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsPřesné skóre3–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitoria winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Remíza16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitoria win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Domácí share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 62% · Méně 38%

Vitoria0.62

Hosté share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitAno 43% · Ne 57%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Vitoria

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Výhra probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoVitoria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Vitoria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo výhra 78%,Remíza 16%,Vitoria výhra 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Více 2.5 62% · Current selection Více