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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Flamengo vs Vitoria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg78%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg6%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoVitoria
Expected goals3.22Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
78% / 16% / 6%SpielergebnisHeimsieg78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitoria win (6.3%)Doppelte Chance1X93.7%1.07
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitoria winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitoria win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Heim share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

Vitoria0.62

Auswärts share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Vitoria

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoVitoria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Vitoria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo Gewinn 78%,Unentschieden 16%,Vitoria Gewinn 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über