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BRA Brasil - Serie A · Round 21 ·

Flamengo vs Vitória

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local78%
Empate16%
Victoria visitante6%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoVitória
Expected goals3.22Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
78% / 16% / 6%Resultado del partidoVictoria local78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitória win (6.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X93.7%1.07
Más de 62% · Menos de 38%Goals 2.5Más de62%1.61
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitória winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Empate16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitória win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Local share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 62% · Menos de 38%

Vitória0.62

Visitante share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Vitória

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Ganado probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoVitória
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitória signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Vitória FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo ganada 78%,Empate 16%,Vitória ganada 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Más de 2.5 62% · Current selection Más de