MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 22 ·

Flamengo vs Vitória

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.22 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile78%
Nul16%
Victoire à l’extérieur6%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 78% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile78% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoVitória
Expected goals3.22Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
78% / 16% / 6%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitória win (6.3%)Double chance1X93.7%1.07
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
3.22 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapVitória winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Flamengo win78%1.281.2277.8%+0.2 pp
Nul16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp
Vitória win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.60

Domicile share of expected goals 80.7%

Total expected goals3.22Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Vitória0.62

Extérieur share of expected goals 19.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Flamengo

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Vitória

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Gagné probability excluding draw
6%
11
Points from supplied form
4
2.60
Expected goals
0.62
FlamengoVitória
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitória signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Vitória FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo victoire 78%,Nul 16%,Vitória victoire 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de