Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 29% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Double chance1270.9%1.41
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapSao Paulo winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gremio win41%2.442.3041.2%-0.2 pp
Nul29%3.453.2529.2%-0.2 pp
Sao Paulo win30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 56%
Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%
Extérieur share of expected goals 44%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchGremio
LDLLL
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchSao Paulo
DLLWD
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%1
Points from supplied form
51.30
Expected goals
1.02GremioSao Paulo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Gremio vs Sao Paulo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Gremio victoire 41%，Nul 29%，Sao Paulo victoire 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.32 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de。