Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 26% / 16%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chapecoense win (16.3%)Double chance1X83.7%1.19
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
2.91 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapCoritiba winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coritiba win58%1.721.6557.3%+0.7 pp
Nul26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Chapecoense win16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 70.4%
Total expected goals2.91Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%
Extérieur share of expected goals 29.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCoritiba
LDLLW
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchChapecoense
DLLLL
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
16%4
Points from supplied form
12.05
Expected goals
0.86CoritibaChapecoense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Coritiba vs Chapecoense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Coritiba victoire 58%，Nul 26%，Chapecoense victoire 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.91 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de。