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BRA 巴西甲級聯賽 · Round 21 ·

哥列迪巴 vs 沙佩科恩斯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝58%
26%
客勝16%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝58% selection probability
Projected score2–1哥列迪巴沙佩科恩斯
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
58% / 26% / 16%比賽結果主勝58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 沙佩科恩斯 win (16.3%)雙重機會1X83.7%1.19
大 56% · 小 44%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 50% · 否 50%雙方進球50%2.00
2.91 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gap哥列迪巴 winDifference+0.7 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
哥列迪巴 win58%1.721.6557.3%+0.7 pp
26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
沙佩科恩斯 win16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

哥列迪巴2.05

主隊 share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 56% · 44%

沙佩科恩斯0.86

客隊 share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

哥列迪巴

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

沙佩科恩斯

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
贏 probability excluding draw
16%
4
Points from supplied form
1
2.05
Expected goals
0.86
哥列迪巴沙佩科恩斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01哥列迪巴 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02沙佩科恩斯 signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

哥列迪巴 vs 沙佩科恩斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

哥列迪巴 58%, 26%,沙佩科恩斯 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · 大2.5 56% · Current selection