Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 26% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chapecoense win (16.3%)Dubbele Kans1X83.7%1.19
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenJa50%2.00
2.91 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapCoritiba winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coritiba win58%1.721.6557.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Chapecoense win16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 70.4%
Total expected goals2.91Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%
Uit share of expected goals 29.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCoritiba
LDLLW
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchChapecoense
DLLLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1
SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%4
Points from supplied form
12.05
Expected goals
0.86CoritibaChapecoense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Coritiba vs Chapecoense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Coritiba gewonnen 58%，Gelijkspel 26%，Chapecoense gewonnen 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.91 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven。