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BRA 巴西甲級聯賽 · Round 21 ·

格雷米奧 vs 聖保羅

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝41%
29%
客勝30%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝41% selection probability
Projected score1–1格雷米奧聖保羅
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.559% for the selected side
雙方進球53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
41% / 29% / 30%比賽結果主勝41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)雙重機會1270.6%1.42
大 41% · 小 59%Goals 2.559%1.69
是 47% · 否 53%雙方進球53%1.89
2.32 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
格雷米奧 win41%2.442.3540.7%+0.3 pp
29%3.453.2529.4%-0.4 pp
聖保羅 win30%3.333.2029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

格雷米奧1.30

主隊 share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 41% · 59%

聖保羅1.02

客隊 share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

格雷米奧

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

聖保羅

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
贏 probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
5
1.30
Expected goals
1.02
格雷米奧聖保羅
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01格雷米奧 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02聖保羅 signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

格雷米奧 vs 聖保羅 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

格雷米奧 41%, 29%,聖保羅 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · 大2.5 41% · Current selection