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BRA Brazil Serie A · Spiel ·

Bahía vs Vasco Da Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg50%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg50% selection probability
Projected score2–1BahíaVasco Da Gama
Expected goals3.15Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
50% / 26% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vasco Da Gama win (24.3%)Doppelte Chance1X75.7%1.32
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
3.15 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Bahía win50%2.00
Unentschieden26%3.85
Vasco Da Gama win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bahía2.03

Heim share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals3.15Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

Vasco Da Gama1.12

Auswärts share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Bahía

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Vasco Da Gama

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.12
BahíaVasco Da Gama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bahía signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vasco Da Gama signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Bahía vs Vasco Da Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bahía Gewinn 50%,Unentschieden 26%,Vasco Da Gama Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über