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BRA Brazil Serie A · Zápas ·

Bahia vs Vasco Da Gama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich50%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí24%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich50% selection probability
Projected score2–1BahiaVasco Da Gama
Expected goals3.15Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac61% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
50% / 26% / 24%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vasco Da Gama win (24.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X75.7%1.32
Viac 61% · Menej 39%Goals 2.5Viac61%1.64
Áno 59% · Nie 41%Oba tímy skórujúÁno59%1.69
3.15 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Bahia win50%2.00
Remíza26%3.85
Vasco Da Gama win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bahia2.03

Domáci share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals3.15Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 61% · Menej 39%

Vasco Da Gama1.12

Hostia share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 59% · Nie 41%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Bahia

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Vasco Da Gama

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.12
BahiaVasco Da Gama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bahia signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vasco Da Gama signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Bahia vs Vasco Da Gama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bahia výhra 50%,Remíza 26%,Vasco Da Gama výhra 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Viac 2.5 61% · Current selection Viac