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BRA Brazil Serie A · Матч ·

Баия vs Васко да Гама

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score2–1БаияВаско да Гама
Expected goals3.15Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 26% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Васко да Гама win (24.3%)Двойной шанс1X75.7%1.32
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
3.15 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Баия win50%2.00
Ничья26%3.85
Васко да Гама win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Баия2.03

Хозяева share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals3.15Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

Васко да Гама1.12

Гости share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Баия

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Васко да Гама

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.12
БаияВаско да Гама
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Баия signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Васко да Гама signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Баия vs Васко да Гама FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Баия выигрыш 50%,Ничья 26%,Васко да Гама выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше