Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 26% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vasco da Gama win (24.3%)Dubbele Kans1X75.7%1.32
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
3.15 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Bahia win50%2.00
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Vasco da Gama win24%4.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 64.4%
Total expected goals3.15Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%
Uit share of expected goals 35.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchBahia
DDDWW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchVasco da Gama
WDDLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%9
Points from supplied form
52.03
Expected goals
1.12BahiaVasco da Gama
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bahia gewonnen 50%，Gelijkspel 26%，Vasco da Gama gewonnen 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.15 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven。