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BRA 巴西甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

巴伊亞 vs 瓦斯科達伽馬

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝50%
26%
客勝24%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝50% selection probability
Projected score2–1巴伊亞瓦斯科達伽馬
Expected goals3.15初盤 match profile
Goals 2.561% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
50% / 26% / 24%比賽結果主勝50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 瓦斯科達伽馬 win (24.3%)雙重機會1X75.7%1.32
大 61% · 小 39%Goals 2.561%1.64
是 59% · 否 41%雙方進球59%1.69
3.15 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
巴伊亞 win50%2.00
26%3.85
瓦斯科達伽馬 win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

巴伊亞2.03

主隊 share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals3.15初盤

Dedicated goals model: 61% · 39%

瓦斯科達伽馬1.12

客隊 share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · 41%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

巴伊亞

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

瓦斯科達伽馬

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
贏 probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.03
Expected goals
1.12
巴伊亞瓦斯科達伽馬
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01巴伊亞 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02瓦斯科達伽馬 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

巴伊亞 vs 瓦斯科達伽馬 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

巴伊亞 50%, 26%,瓦斯科達伽馬 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · 大2.5 61% · Current selection