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BRA 巴西甲級聯賽 · Round 21 ·

巴干天奴 vs 科林蒂安

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
31%
客勝31%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score1–1巴干天奴科林蒂安
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.563% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 31% / 31%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 科林蒂安 win (30.7%)雙重機會1X69.3%1.44
大 37% · 小 63%Goals 2.563%1.59
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
2.17 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.8 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
巴干天奴 win38%2.63
31%3.23
科林蒂安 win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

巴干天奴1.19

主隊 share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 37% · 63%

科林蒂安0.98

客隊 share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

巴干天奴

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

科林蒂安

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.19
Expected goals
0.98
巴干天奴科林蒂安
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01巴干天奴 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02科林蒂安 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

巴干天奴 vs 科林蒂安 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

巴干天奴 38%, 31%,科林蒂安 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · 大2.5 37% · Current selection