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BRA 巴西甲級聯賽 · Round 21 ·

山度士 vs 巴拉納競技

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝43%
30%
客勝27%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝43% selection probability
Projected score1–1山度士巴拉納競技
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
43% / 30% / 27%比賽結果主勝43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 巴拉納競技 win (27.3%)雙重機會1X72.7%1.38
大 40% · 小 60%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 47% · 否 53%雙方進球53%1.89
2.29 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.8 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gap山度士 winDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
山度士 win43%2.332.1544.1%-1.1 pp
30%3.333.2029.6%+0.4 pp
巴拉納競技 win27%3.703.6026.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

山度士1.06

主隊 share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 40% · 60%

巴拉納競技1.23

客隊 share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

山度士

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

巴拉納競技

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
贏 probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
13
1.06
Expected goals
1.23
山度士巴拉納競技
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01山度士 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02巴拉納競技 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

山度士 vs 巴拉納競技 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

山度士 43%, 30%,巴拉納競技 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · 大2.5 40% · Current selection