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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 22 ·

Bragantino vs Corinthians

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger38% selection probability
Projected score1–1BragantinoCorinthians
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 31% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Corinthians win (30.7%)Dubbelchans1X69.3%1.44
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Bragantino win38%2.63
Oavgjort31%3.23
Corinthians win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bragantino1.19

Hemma share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Corinthians0.98

Borta share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Bragantino

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Corinthians

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.19
Expected goals
0.98
BragantinoCorinthians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bragantino signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Corinthians signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Bragantino vs Corinthians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bragantino vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 31%,Corinthians vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under