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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger26%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger52%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
26% / 23% / 52%MatchresultatBortaseger52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dubbelchans1277.4%1.29
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Båda lagen gör målJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
11.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Hemma share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Borta share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC vunnen 26%,Oavgjort 23%,Leevon PPK vunnen 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över