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Časové pásmoAsia/Shanghai
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LVA Lotyšsko - 1. liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich26%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostí52%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac60% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
26% / 23% / 52%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dvojitá šanca1277.4%1.29
Viac 60% · Menej 40%Goals 2.5Viac60%1.67
Áno 62% · Nie 38%Oba tímy skórujúÁno62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
11.1 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Remíza23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Domáci share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 60% · Menej 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Hostia share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Výhra probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC výhra 26%,Remíza 23%,Leevon PPK výhra 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Viac 2.5 60% · Current selection Viac