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LVA Lotyšsko - 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích26%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostů52%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více60% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
26% / 23% / 52%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dvojitá šance1277.4%1.29
Více 60% · Méně 40%Goals 2.5Více60%1.67
Ano 62% · Ne 38%Oba týmy skórujíAno62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–2
11.1 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Remíza23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Domácí share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 60% · Méně 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Hosté share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitAno 62% · Ne 38%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Výhra probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC výhra 26%,Remíza 23%,Leevon PPK výhra 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Více 2.5 60% · Current selection Více