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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local26%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante52%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
26% / 23% / 52%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Doble Oportunidad1277.4%1.29
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 62% · No 38%Ambos equipos marcan62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
11.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Empate23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Local share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Visitante share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 62% · No 38%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganado probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC ganada 26%,Empate 23%,Leevon PPK ganada 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de