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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg26%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg52%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
26% / 23% / 52%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Doppelte Chance1277.4%1.29
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nein 38%Beide Teams treffenJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
11.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Unentschieden23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Heim share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nein 38%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC Gewinn 26%,Unentschieden 23%,Leevon PPK Gewinn 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über