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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Μαρουπές vs Λέεβον ΠΠΚ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου26%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου52%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου52% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΜαρουπέςΛέεβον ΠΠΚ
Expected goals3.10Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
26% / 23% / 52%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1277.4%1.29
Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%Goals 2.5Άνω60%1.67
Ναι 62% · Όχι 38%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
11.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapΜαρουπές winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μαρουπές win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Ισοπαλία23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Λέεβον ΠΠΚ win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μαρουπές1.49

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%

Λέεβον ΠΠΚ1.61

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 62% · Όχι 38%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μαρουπές

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λέεβον ΠΠΚ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
ΜαρουπέςΛέεβον ΠΠΚ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μαρουπές signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λέεβον ΠΠΚ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Μαρουπές vs Λέεβον ΠΠΚ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μαρουπές νίκη 26%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Λέεβον ΠΠΚ νίκη 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Άνω 2.5 60% · Current selection Άνω