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LVA Läti 1. liiga · Round 15 ·

Mārupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit26%
Viik23%
Võõrsilvõit52%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Mārupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle60% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
26% / 23% / 52%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Topeltvõimalus1277.4%1.29
Üle 60% · Alla 40%Goals 2.5Üle60%1.67
Jah 62% · Ei 38%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
11.1 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMārupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mārupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Viik23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mārupes SC1.49

Kodu share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 60% · Alla 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Võõras share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 62% · Ei 38%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Mārupes SC

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Võit probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Mārupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mārupes SC signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Mārupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mārupes SC võit 26%,Viik 23%,Leevon PPK võit 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Üle 2.5 60% · Current selection Üle