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LVA Łotwa - 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy26%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości52%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
26% / 23% / 52%Wynik meczuWygrana gości52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Podwójna szansa1277.4%1.29
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 62% · Nie 38%Obie drużyny strzeląTak62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
11.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Remis23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Gospodarze share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Goście share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC wygrana 26%,Remis 23%,Leevon PPK wygrana 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej