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LVA 拉脱维亚1. Liga · Round 15 ·

馬魯佩 vs 里文PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝26%
23%
客勝52%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝52% selection probability
Projected score1–2馬魯佩里文PPK
Expected goals3.10初盤 match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
26% / 23% / 52%比賽結果客勝52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)雙重機會1277.4%1.29
大 60% · 小 40%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 62% · 否 38%雙方進球62%1.61
3.10 total expected goals正確比分1–2
11.1 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gap馬魯佩 winDifference+1.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
馬魯佩 win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
里文PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

馬魯佩1.49

主隊 share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10初盤

Dedicated goals model: 60% · 40%

里文PPK1.61

客隊 share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 62% · 38%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

馬魯佩

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

里文PPK

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
贏 probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
馬魯佩里文PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01馬魯佩 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02里文PPK signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

馬魯佩 vs 里文PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

馬魯佩 26%, 23%,里文PPK 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · 大2.5 60% · Current selection