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LVA ラトビア 1 リーガ · Round 15 ·

マールペSC vs レーボンPPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利26%
引き分け23%
アウェイ勝利52%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利52% selection probability
Projected score1–2マールペSCレーボンPPK
Expected goals3.10始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
26% / 23% / 52%試合結果アウェイ勝利52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)ダブルチャンス1277.4%1.29
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 62% · いいえ 38%両チーム得点はい62%1.61
3.10 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
11.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapマールペSC winDifference+1.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
マールペSC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
引き分け23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
レーボンPPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マールペSC1.49

ホーム share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

レーボンPPK1.61

アウェイ share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 62% · いいえ 38%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マールペSC

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レーボンPPK

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
勝ち probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
マールペSCレーボンPPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マールペSC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レーボンPPK signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

マールペSC vs レーボンPPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マールペSC 勝ち 26%,引き分け 23%,レーボンPPK 勝ち 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー