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LVA ラトビア 1 リーガ · 試合 ·

FKスミルテネ/BJSS vs バルミアラFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利7%
引き分け12%
アウェイ勝利81%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利81% selection probability
Projected score1–3FKスミルテネ/BJSSバルミアラFC
Expected goals4.17始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー79% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
7% / 12% / 81%試合結果アウェイ勝利81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FKスミルテネ/BJSS win (7.3%)ダブルチャンスX292.7%1.08
オーバー 79% · アンダー 21%Goals 2.5オーバー79%1.27
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点いいえ50%2.00
4.17 total expected goals正確なスコア1–3
11.7 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapバルミアラFC winDifference+0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FKスミルテネ/BJSS win7%14.2912.007.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け12%8.337.5012.2%-0.2 pp
バルミアラFC win81%1.231.1480.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FKスミルテネ/BJSS0.72

ホーム share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 79% · アンダー 21%

バルミアラFC3.45

アウェイ share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FKスミルテネ/BJSS

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

バルミアラFC

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
勝ち probability excluding draw
81%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
FKスミルテネ/BJSSバルミアラFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FKスミルテネ/BJSS signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02バルミアラFC signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FKスミルテネ/BJSS vs バルミアラFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FKスミルテネ/BJSS 勝ち 7%,引き分け 12%,バルミアラFC 勝ち 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · オーバー 2.5 79% · Current selection オーバー