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LVA Letónia - 1.ª Liga · Partida ·

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa7%
Empate10%
Vitória visitante83%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante83% selection probability
Projected score1–3FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Expected goals4.17Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima79% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
7% / 10% / 83%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Smiltene/BJSS win (6.7%)Dupla ChanceX293.3%1.07
Acima 79% · Abaixo 21%Goals 2.5Acima79%1.27
Sim 50% · Não 50%Ambas as equipes marcamNão50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–3
11.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Smiltene/BJSS win7%14.2913.007%0.0 pp
Empate10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
Valmiera FC win83%1.201.1082.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Smiltene/BJSS0.72

Mandante share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 79% · Abaixo 21%

Valmiera FC3.45

Visitante share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitSim 50% · Não 50%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

FK Smiltene/BJSS

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Valmiera FC

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
83%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Smiltene/BJSS signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valmiera FC signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–3 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Smiltene/BJSS ganhou 7%,Empate 10%,Valmiera FC ganhou 83%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Acima 2.5 79% · Current selection Acima