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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Мач ·

Смилетене/БИСС vs ФК Валмиера

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина7%
Равен12%
Победа за госта81%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта81% selection probability
Projected score1–3Смилетене/БИССФК Валмиера
Expected goals4.17Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над79% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
7% / 12% / 81%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Смилетене/БИСС win (7.3%)Двоен шансX292.7%1.08
Над 79% · Под 21%Goals 2.5Над79%1.27
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатНе50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–3
11.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapФК Валмиера winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Смилетене/БИСС win7%14.2912.007.6%-0.6 pp
Равен12%8.337.5012.2%-0.2 pp
ФК Валмиера win81%1.231.1480.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Смилетене/БИСС0.72

Домакин share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 79% · Под 21%

ФК Валмиера3.45

Гост share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Смилетене/БИСС

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Валмиера

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
81%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
Смилетене/БИССФК Валмиера
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Смилетене/БИСС signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Валмиера signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Смилетене/БИСС vs ФК Валмиера FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Смилетене/БИСС печеливш 7%,Равен 12%,ФК Валмиера печеливш 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Над 2.5 79% · Current selection Над