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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Partita ·

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa7%
Pareggio12%
Vittoria ospite81%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite81% selection probability
Projected score1–3FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Expected goals4.17Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra79% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
7% / 12% / 81%Esito partitaVittoria ospite81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Smiltene/BJSS win (7.3%)Doppia ChanceX292.7%1.08
Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%Goals 2.5Sopra79%1.27
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–3
11.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapValmiera FC winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Smiltene/BJSS win7%14.2912.007.6%-0.6 pp
Pareggio12%8.337.5012.2%-0.2 pp
Valmiera FC win81%1.231.1480.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Smiltene/BJSS0.72

Casa share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%

Valmiera FC3.45

Trasferta share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FK Smiltene/BJSS

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Valmiera FC

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Vinta probability excluding draw
81%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Smiltene/BJSS signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valmiera FC signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Smiltene/BJSS vinta 7%,Pareggio 12%,Valmiera FC vinta 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Sopra 2.5 79% · Current selection Sopra