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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
LVA Letland - 1. liga · Wedstrijd ·

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst7%
Gelijkspel12%
Uitwinst81%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst81% selection probability
Projected score1–3FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Expected goals4.17Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven79% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
7% / 12% / 81%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Smiltene/BJSS win (7.3%)Dubbele KansX292.7%1.08
Boven 79% · Onder 21%Goals 2.5Boven79%1.27
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsExacte score1–3
11.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapValmiera FC winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Smiltene/BJSS win7%14.2912.007.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel12%8.337.5012.2%-0.2 pp
Valmiera FC win81%1.231.1480.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Smiltene/BJSS0.72

Thuis share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 79% · Onder 21%

Valmiera FC3.45

Uit share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FK Smiltene/BJSS

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Valmiera FC

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
81%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Smiltene/BJSS signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valmiera FC signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Smiltene/BJSS gewonnen 7%,Gelijkspel 12%,Valmiera FC gewonnen 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Boven 2.5 79% · Current selection Boven