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LVA Läti 1. liiga · Mäng ·

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmieras FK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit7%
Viik12%
Võõrsilvõit81%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 81% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit81% selection probability
Projected score1–3FK Smiltene/BJSSValmieras FK
Expected goals4.17Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle79% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
7% / 12% / 81%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Smiltene/BJSS win (7.3%)TopeltvõimalusX292.7%1.08
Üle 79% · Alla 21%Goals 2.5Üle79%1.27
Jah 50% · Ei 50%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–3
11.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapValmieras FK winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Smiltene/BJSS win7%14.2912.007.6%-0.6 pp
Viik12%8.337.5012.2%-0.2 pp
Valmieras FK win81%1.231.1480.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Smiltene/BJSS0.72

Kodu share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 79% · Alla 21%

Valmieras FK3.45

Võõras share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJah 50% · Ei 50%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FK Smiltene/BJSS

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Valmieras FK

3.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punktid15

SignalVõõras unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Võit probability excluding draw
81%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
FK Smiltene/BJSSValmieras FK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Smiltene/BJSS signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valmieras FK signalVõõras unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmieras FK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–3 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Smiltene/BJSS võit 7%,Viik 12%,Valmieras FK võit 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Üle 2.5 79% · Current selection Üle