Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
7% / 10% / 83%Match resultAway win83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Smiltene/BJSS win (6.7%)Double chanceX293.3%1.07
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3——
11.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Smiltene/BJSS win7%14.2913.007%0.0 pp
Draw10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
Valmiera FC win83%1.201.1082.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 17.3%
Total expected goals4.17Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%
Away share of expected goals 82.7%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFK Smiltene/BJSS
WLWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchValmiera FC
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
7%
Win probability excluding draw
83%6
Points from supplied form
150.72
Expected goals
3.45FK Smiltene/BJSSValmiera FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 10%.
Match questions
FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Valmiera FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 83% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FK Smiltene/BJSS win 7%，Draw 10%，Valmiera FC win 83%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.17 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over。