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LVA 拉脱维亚1. Liga · 比賽 ·

斯米爾泰 vs 瓦爾米耶拉FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝7%
10%
客勝83%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝83% selection probability
Projected score1–3斯米爾泰瓦爾米耶拉FC
Expected goals4.17初盤 match profile
Goals 2.579% for the selected side
雙方進球50% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
7% / 10% / 83%比賽結果客勝83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 斯米爾泰 win (6.7%)雙重機會X293.3%1.07
大 79% · 小 21%Goals 2.579%1.27
是 50% · 否 50%雙方進球50%2.00
4.17 total expected goals正確比分1–3
11.7 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
斯米爾泰 win7%14.2913.007%0.0 pp
10%10.009.0010.1%-0.1 pp
瓦爾米耶拉FC win83%1.201.1082.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

斯米爾泰0.72

主隊 share of expected goals 17.3%

Total expected goals4.17初盤

Dedicated goals model: 79% · 21%

瓦爾米耶拉FC3.45

客隊 share of expected goals 82.7%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 50% · 50%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

斯米爾泰

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

瓦爾米耶拉FC

3.00pts / match
5Wins5Drawn0Losses0積分15

Signal客隊 unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
贏 probability excluding draw
83%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.72
Expected goals
3.45
斯米爾泰瓦爾米耶拉FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01斯米爾泰 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02瓦爾米耶拉FC signal客隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

斯米爾泰 vs 瓦爾米耶拉FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–3 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

斯米爾泰 7%, 10%,瓦爾米耶拉FC 83%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · 大2.5 79% · Current selection