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LVA Letónia - 1.ª Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa26%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante52%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
26% / 23% / 52%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dupla Chance1277.4%1.29
Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%Goals 2.5Acima60%1.67
Sim 62% · Não 38%Ambas as equipes marcamSim62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
11.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Empate23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Mandante share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Visitante share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 62% · Não 38%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC ganhou 26%,Empate 23%,Leevon PPK ganhou 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Acima 2.5 60% · Current selection Acima