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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır26%
Beraberlik23%
Deplasman kazanır52%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst60% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
26% / 23% / 52%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Çifte Şans1277.4%1.29
Üst 60% · Alt 40%Goals 2.5Üst60%1.67
Evet 62% · Hayır 38%Karşılıklı gol varEvet62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
11.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Beraberlik23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 60% · Alt 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Deplasman share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 62% · Hayır 38%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC kazanç 26%,Beraberlik 23%,Leevon PPK kazanç 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · 2.5 Üst 60% · Current selection Üst