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LVA Letonia - 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde26%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți52%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți52% selection probability
Projected score1–2Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Expected goals3.10Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
26% / 23% / 52%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Șansă dublă1277.4%1.29
Peste 60% · Sub 40%Goals 2.5Peste60%1.67
Da 62% · Nu 38%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
11.1 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapMarupes SC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marupes SC win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Egal23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Leevon PPK win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marupes SC1.49

Gazde share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 60% · Sub 40%

Leevon PPK1.61

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 62% · Nu 38%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Marupes SC

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Leevon PPK

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Câștig probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
Marupes SCLeevon PPK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marupes SC signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leevon PPK signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Marupes SC vs Leevon PPK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marupes SC câștig 26%,Egal 23%,Leevon PPK câștig 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Peste 2.5 60% · Current selection Peste