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LVA Letonia - 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

JFK Ventspils vs SK Super Nova II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți38%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți38% selection probability
Projected score1–1JFK VentspilsSK Super Nova II
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub63% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 25% / 38%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Șansă dublă1274.8%1.34
Peste 37% · Sub 63%Goals 2.5Sub63%1.59
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
11.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapJFK Ventspils winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JFK Ventspils win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Egal25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
SK Super Nova II win38%2.632.3837.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JFK Ventspils1.07

Gazde share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 37% · Sub 63%

SK Super Nova II1.12

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

JFK Ventspils

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova II

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.12
JFK VentspilsSK Super Nova II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JFK Ventspils signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Super Nova II signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JFK Ventspils vs SK Super Nova II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JFK Ventspils câștig 37%,Egal 25%,SK Super Nova II câștig 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Peste 2.5 37% · Current selection Sub