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LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

JFK Ventspils vs SK Super Nova II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger37%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger38%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger38% selection probability
Projected score1–1JFK VentspilsSK Super Nova II
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
37% / 25% / 38%MatchresultatBortaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Dubbelchans1274.8%1.34
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
11.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapJFK Ventspils winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JFK Ventspils win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
SK Super Nova II win38%2.632.3837.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JFK Ventspils1.07

Hemma share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

SK Super Nova II1.12

Borta share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

JFK Ventspils

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

SK Super Nova II

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.07
Expected goals
1.12
JFK VentspilsSK Super Nova II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JFK Ventspils signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Super Nova II signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JFK Ventspils vs SK Super Nova II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JFK Ventspils vunnen 37%,Oavgjort 25%,SK Super Nova II vunnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under