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Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
LVA Latvia 1. Liga · Round 15 ·

Марупес vs Леевон ППК

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина26%
Равен23%
Победа за госта52%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта52% selection probability
Projected score1–2МарупесЛеевон ППК
Expected goals3.10Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа62% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
26% / 23% / 52%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Двоен шанс1277.4%1.29
Над 60% · Под 40%Goals 2.5Над60%1.67
Да 62% · Не 38%И двата отбора да отбележатДа62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
11.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapМарупес winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Марупес win26%3.853.6024.9%+1.1 pp
Равен23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Леевон ППК win52%1.921.7052.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Марупес1.49

Домакин share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals3.10Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 60% · Под 40%

Леевон ППК1.61

Гост share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 62% · Не 38%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Марупес

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Леевон ППК

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
52%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.61
МарупесЛеевон ППК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Марупес signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Леевон ППК signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Марупес vs Леевон ППК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Марупес печеливш 26%,Равен 23%,Леевон ППК печеливш 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Над 2.5 60% · Current selection Над