Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 30% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Насьональ де Футбол win (22.3%)Двойной шанс1X77.7%1.29
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 41% · Нет 59%Обе забьютНет59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Пеньяроль win48%2.08
Ничья30%3.33
Насьональ де Футбол win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Хозяева share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%
Гости share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Нет 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Хозяева-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchПеньяроль
DWWWW
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13
SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5
Гости-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchНасьональ де Футбол
WLLWL
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6
SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73ПеньярольНасьональ де Футбол
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Пеньяроль vs Насьональ де Футбол FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Пеньяроль выигрыш 48%，Ничья 30%，Насьональ де Футбол выигрыш 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше。