Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
48% / 30% / 22%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional de Football win (22.3%)Dupla Chance1X77.7%1.29
Acima 38% · Abaixo 62%Goals 2.5Abaixo62%1.61
Sim 41% · Não 59%Ambas as equipes marcamNão59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Peñarol win48%2.08
Empate30%3.33
Nacional de Football win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Mandante share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Acima 38% · Abaixo 62%
Visitante share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 41% · Não 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Mandante-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPeñarol
DWWWW
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13
SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional de Football
WLLWL
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6
SignalMandante clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73PeñarolNacional de Football
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Peñarol vs Nacional de Football FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Peñarol ganhou 48%，Empate 30%，Nacional de Football ganhou 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · Acima 2.5 38% · Current selection Abaixo。