Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 30% / 22%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional De Football win (22.3%)Doppelte Chance1X77.7%1.29
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Penarol win48%2.08
Unentschieden30%3.33
Nacional De Football win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%
Auswärts share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPenarol
DWWWW
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13
SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional De Football
WLLWL
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6
SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73PenarolNacional De Football
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penarol vs Nacional De Football FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol Gewinn 48%，Unentschieden 30%，Nacional De Football Gewinn 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter。