Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 30% / 22%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional De Football win (22.3%)Doppia Chance1X77.7%1.29
Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%Goals 2.5Sotto62%1.61
Sì 41% · No 59%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59%1.69
2.22 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Penarol win48%2.08
Pareggio30%3.33
Nacional De Football win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 67.1%
Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%
Trasferta share of expected goals 32.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchPenarol
DWWWW
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13
SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional De Football
WLLWL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
22%13
Points from supplied form
61.49
Expected goals
0.73PenarolNacional De Football
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penarol vs Nacional De Football FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol vinta 48%，Pareggio 30%，Nacional De Football vinta 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.22 · Sopra 2.5 38% · Current selection Sotto。